The Fantasy 32 analyzes the NFL from a fantasy perspective, with every of the 32 groups within the league being talked about not less than as soon as. Whereas effectivity is mentioned extensively, the column will rely closely on utilization knowledge as quantity is (by far) king in fantasy soccer. Use these tidbits to assist make the most effective waivers, buying and selling, and lineup choices for the week forward and past. Examine again each week of the season for a brand new model of Fantasy 32.
Within the team-by-team overviews beneath, I’ll confer with “OFP” and “OTD”. OFP stands for Alternative-adjusted Fantasy Factors. Think about a league the place gamers are equal. OFP is a statistic that weighs every move / carry / goal and converts the info right into a quantity that signifies a participant’s potential to attain fantasy factors, or their “anticipated” fantasy rating. For instance, if a participant has an OFP of 14.5, it implies that a league common participant who noticed the identical workload in the identical place on the sector would have scored 14.5 Fantasy Factors. FORP is the distinction between a participant’s precise Fantasy Rating and their OFP. OTD works the identical manner, besides that as an alternative of fantasy factors, it is touchdowns. Quantity is king in fantasy soccer, so this is not data you need to overlook.
That mentioned, right here is the OFP leaderboard after week 6:
* Full OTD and OFP place leaderboards will likely be posted on ESPN + this week.
Subsequent, listed below are the gamers who exceeded their OFP by the largest margin up to now week and are due to this fact candidates for a decline in fantasy manufacturing, assuming they see the same workload:
And these gamers missed their OFP by the largest margin final week, so do not be too fast to react to their efficiency when making choices about lineup, buying and selling, or give up:
Cardinals of Arizona: Has the Kenyan Drake we knew and cherished final season – after which once more in the course of the 2020 drafting season – lastly returned? It is attainable after Arizona’s lead went for 164 yards and a few touchdowns to 20 carry towards Dallas’ imploding protection Monday evening’s soccer. Drake performed a wholesome 70% of the Cardinals’ offensive snaps, which is an effective signal. As a recipient, nonetheless, he was once more a non-factor, with two catches on two targets. Drake is as much as 20th in RB Fantasy factors, however on Monday his first weekly objective was higher than 17th. Except for a major enhance in targets, he is more likely to proceed producing borderline RB2 numbers – however no higher.
Atlanta Falcons: I believe it is protected to say that Julio Jones is again. The 31-year-old celebrity missed all however 15 snaps in Atlanta’s final three video games however returned to the fantasy scene on Sunday with an 8-137-2 obtain line on 10 targets towards Minnesota. Jones has now performed three full video games this season, and two resulted in additional than 10 targets and greater than 25 fantasy factors. Jones, who led Atlanta’s broad recipients with 64 snapshots on Sunday, is a high 30 fantasy recipient regardless of all of the missed promotions. He stays a stable WR1 after all and has an incredible matchup towards Detroit in week 7.
Baltimore Ravens: Mark Ingram II left Sunday’s sport towards the Eagles with an ankle harm after 9 snapshots. In his place, Gus Edwards performed 30 snaps (45%) and rookie J.Ok. Dobbins performed 27. Edwards additionally went up and down 14 runs however was solely held at 26 yards, in comparison with 9 runs for 28 yards for Dobbins. Edwards was not focused and Dobbins was saved to 1 yard on 4 targets. If Ingram misses the time (which is way from Baltimore being on their approach to saying goodbye) we are able to not less than anticipate a two-headed assault with Edwards and Dobbins, though Justice Hill would possibly see some passing snaps too. Provided that Baltimore’s working backs rank 24th on fantasy factors and 29th on targets this season, this is not a very tempting scenario, however Dobbins can be the most effective flex possibility on this state of affairs.
Buffalo Payments: Zack Moss lastly returned from harm Monday evening, however the rookie was removed from a non-factor towards the Chiefs. Moss performed solely 13 of 50 (26%) offensive snaps from Buffalo, which was manner beneath the 37 snaps performed by Devin Singletary. Singletary did not do a lot both, with 10 transfers for 32 yards and 13 extra yards on a pair of targets. Moss solely collected 10 yards with 5 runs and hadn’t been focused in any respect. Singletary flashed slightly earlier within the season however struggled to achieve 78 yards on 23 touches (excluding TDs) in Buffalo’s final three video games. Moss, who performed on a beneficiant 44% of the Invoice’s Snapshots for the primary two weeks of the season, solely sees extra work because the season progresses. He stays price a financial institution place in 12 leagues.
Carolina Panthers: Teddy Bridgewater ran the ball eight occasions for 48 yards on Sunday, each new profession highlights. The fast tempo of manufacturing helped to make up for a troublesome day (216 yards, Zero TDs, 2 INTs) to some extent, regardless of Bridgewater ending 15th or worse in fantasy factors for the fourth time in six video games. Bridgewater has been about as matchup dependent as they arrive. He pitched Duds towards good Buccaneers, Chargers, and Bears defenses, however proved helpful towards the Raiders, Cardinals, and Falcons. He solely has one weekly objective that’s higher than twelfth so clearly there is not a lot upside potential right here, however possibly that may change if he lets the ball run as usually as he did on Sunday. At the moment, Bridgewater is greatest seen as a mid-range QB2 and occasional streaming possibility.
Chicago Bears: Do you keep in mind Anthony Miller? Sure, me neither. Miller is a well-liked breakout contestant in each his second (2019) and third (2020) NFL seasons and has fallen off the fantasy radar. The choice for the second spherical in 2018 averages 4.Three targets per sport. That features an accomplishment in Week 6 the place he met all three targets for Eight yards. Miller discovered the tip zone in Weeks 1 and three, however has not hit 41 yards in a single sport since Week 1 and acquired two weekly placements higher than 60. Miller, who has performed 53% of the offensive snaps this season, clearly does not must be on the listing.
Cincinnati Bengals: Is A.J. Inexperienced again? It certain appeared Sunday when the 32-year-old arrange an 8-96-Zero obtain line on 11 targets whereas taking part in 80% of the snaps towards a very good Colts protection at a season excessive. Inexperienced began the week with a complete of 119 yards on 14 catches in 5 video games, however excessive quantity (34 targets) indicated higher days have been forward. There are a number of mouths to help the Bengals offensive, particularly after rookie Tee Higgins had one other robust day on Sunday, however Inexperienced’s stake in a Bengals offensive that has tried to make 246 passes within the league is sufficient to maintain him within the WR3 / Flex dialogue. The Bengals wideouts are armed with a very good matchup in week 7 towards a Browns protection that has allowed huge receivers to attain the fourth most fantasy factors this season.
Cleveland Browns: Austin Hooper hit 5 of six targets for 52 yards towards the Steelers on Sunday. Hooper has both greater than 50 yards or a landing in three consecutive video games, which has resulted in double-digit fantasy factors every week. Hooper, who averaged not less than six targets and precisely 5 catches within the span, ranks sixth at receptions for the season and has been sixth on fantasy factors since week 4. He’s an edge TE1.
Dallas Cowboys: Andy Dalton’s first begin with Dallas did not go effectively. The longtime Bengals starter accomplished 34 of 54 passes for 266 yards, one landing and two interceptions. These numbers would have been significantly worse with out the rubbish manufacturing. For what it is price, Dalton’s goal distribution was as follows: Ezekiel Elliott, 11, Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb (10), Michael Gallup (6), Dalton Schultz (5), and everybody else (10). Primarily based on what we noticed Monday, Elliott and Cooper stay lineup bans, Lamb is a Flex, Schultz is a TE2, and Gallup is barely price a roster seat. Week 7 could not get a lot better towards a Washington protection that has the fewest WR Fantasy factors this season.
Denver Broncos: After Melvin Gordon III sidelined on Sunday, Phillip Lindsay was on the sector for 40 (64%) offensive snaps. Royce Freeman (24 snaps) was the one different Denver to see the sector. With Denver securing a shocking head begin in New England, Lindsay managed 23 transfers for 101 yards however was not focused. Freeman was saved inside 30 yards of 9 faucets. Ought to Gordon return subsequent week, he’ll stay a Rand-RB2 with Lindsay as a banking possibility. If Gordon sits, Lindsay will likely be in an RB2 sport towards the Chiefs.
Detroit Lions: We have been questioning for the previous two weeks if rookie D’Andre Swift would play an even bigger function after Lions left Week 5. The reply? Type of like that. Swift definitely had his best sport with 14 transfers for 116 yards and two touchdowns, including three catches for 7 yards on 4 targets. His receiving function was not a lot totally different from that in weeks 1 via 4, however there was an obvious spike in rush work as spherical two choices kicked into the day with a complete of 12 transfers for 42 yards for the season. That is all effectively and good, however the issue is that Swift was restricted to solely 37% of the snapshots. That is solely his third-highest price of the season and was simply behind Adrian Peterson (39%). Detroit led all through the sport, which supplied a very good script for Peterson, so it’s totally possible that Swift will play extra in shut video games sooner or later. Swift is not a protected weekly begin but, nevertheless it certain is poised to cross RB2 territory in PPR.
Inexperienced Bay Packers: Davante Adams has performed two full video games this season. In Week 1, he arrange a 14-156-2 obtain line for 17 targets. On Sunday he produced a 6-61-Zero line on 10 targets within the blowout loss to Tampa Bay. Adams has a ridiculous 38% objective share throughout his two full video games this season and has seen double digit targets in 11 of his final 13 full video games, together with every of his final seven. Clearly it’s best to at all times begin Adams, however it is a reminder that he could be the high huge receiver in fantasy soccer that’s evolving. He’ll see Bradley Roby’s shadow towards Houston in week 7.
Houston Texans: Randall Cobb scored his second landing of the season on Sunday, however Houston’s slot man was in any other case absent, with solely three catches for 17 yards on 4 targets. That matches in fairly effectively with Cobb’s season as far as he had a powerful 4-95-1 obtain line in Week Three however was in any other case held for 165 yards on 15 catches. He averaged 4.7 targets per sport and failed six in a single sport. Cobb and its 6.7 aDOT aren’t an incredible flex possibility besides within the deepest leagues.
Indianapolis Colts: Trey Burton opened the 2020 season with an injured reserve, however the veteran tight finish shortly emerged because the Colts’ greatest move catcher. Burton has been focused not less than 5 occasions in all three video games since his return and had his greatest efficiency on Sunday with a 4-58-1 obtain line and a 1-yard landing. Burton hasn’t acted as an all-down participant and his goal of 12% on Sunday will not get it any additional, however he has hit a season excessive of 57% of the Snaps. Burton’s dedication, mixed with Frank Reich and Philip Rivers’ affection for tight ends, is sufficient to make him financial institution house worthy, however he’ll be rated greatest as a TE2 as soon as the Colts return from their Week 7 farewell.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keelan Cole Sr. took out six catches and 143 yards on 9 targets towards the Lions on Sunday. The massive day marks Cole’s highest mileage since 2017 and his highest goal complete since 2018. Cole has performed 74% of the offensive snapshots and averages 6.Three targets per sport this season. He hadn’t made 58 yards in a single sport previous to week 6, however had three touchdowns in his first 5 video games. Jacksonville’s offense is combating, however Cole is nonetheless as much as 20 in fantasy factors among the many broad recipients. He sees sufficient work to allow versatile manufacturing in leagues with 12 groups.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs: The Chiefs have been with out Sammy Watkins on Monday evening, which opened the door for Demarcus Robinson to enter the group’s WR room with 69 snaps (95%). Mecole Hardman (29 snapshots), Byron Pringle (28) and Marcus Kemp (2) have been considerably much less concerned behind Robinson and Tyreek Hill (67). Heavy use allowed Robinson to position a stable 5-69-Zero receiving line on six targets, the latter of which solely left Travis Kelce (7) behind for group management. Watkins is predicted to overlook extra time, with Robinson being on the Flex radar in 12-team leagues. Hardman was restricted to a single objective and definitely has benefits for giant video games sooner or later. Even so, he is a dangerous dart-throwing flex candidate for now.
Las Vegas Raiders: Earlier than saying goodbye to Week 5 in Las Vegas, Josh Jacobs sat in sixth place as he trailed again in fantasy factors pushed by two high 5 weeks. Jacobs paused 106 runs and led the NFL whereas additionally ending second in frenzied yards, second in fast touchdowns, and first in contact. Jacobs’ heavy speeding quantity comes as no shock, however he is additionally stepped up his reception work, driving a path to 43% of passing video games in Las Vegas, whereas growing from 2.1 targets per sport in 2019 to 4.Zero per sport recorded this season. Jacob’s speeding effectivity is down in comparison with his rookie season, however there is no motive to consider he’ll see much less quantity after parting. Jacobs is a licensed weekly RB1.
Los Angeles chargers: Goodbye week got here at an ideal time for Keenan Allen, who left the group’s week 5 sport with a again harm after simply 12 snaps. Allen was restricted to 2 targets within the sport however had beforehand been force-fed by rookie Justin Herbert in three full video games collectively. Allen had a complete of 40 locations in the course of the excursions, of which not less than 10 every. That corresponds to a objective of 39% and a share of 44% within the Luftwerft, which might simply be a profession excessive for the 28-year-old. Even with the fifth week dud, Allen went into bye week, ending fifth amongst broad recipients on targets, sixth on mileage, and eighth on endzone targets. It is a WR1 possibility for the longer term, and that is very true for the Jaguars this weekend.
Los Angeles Rams: Cooper Kupp was held to 3 catches towards the 49ers for 11 yards on Sunday evening. Regardless of the dud, there’s little to fret about. Kupp has been focused eight occasions within the sport and leads the Rams at 44 within the season (Robert Woods is subsequent at 42, and nobody else has greater than 21). Kupp’s quiet day comes after 4 consecutive video games with not less than 12 fantasy factors, 5 catches and 66 receiving yards. Kupp ranks 23rd among the many huge receivers in Fantasy factors and stays on the best way to a Rand WR2 marketing campaign.
Miami Dolphins: With six video games within the e book, it will be an enormous understatement to call Mike Gesicki Increase / Bust. Slightly below the tip of the third 12 months, he hit 91 yards in two video games, however didn’t hit 30 yards throughout his different 4 video games. In actual fact, Gesicki made 13 catches, 221 yards and 1 TD on 17 targets towards the Payments and 49ers, however has 5 catches for 60 yards and 1 TD on 13 targets in his different 4 video games. This features a zero catch effort on two targets towards the exploitable jets on Sunday. Gesicki is a de facto huge receiver (he wide-receivered 93% of his routes) and nonetheless performed 66% of the offensive snaps on Sunday, so higher days are forward. Fantasy’s shut ending with the quantity 11 will likely be a fringe TE1 when Miami returns from its Week 7 goodbye.
Minnesota Vikings: Alexander Mattison was placed on an incredible workload with Dalvin Prepare dinner taking week 6 off. As an alternative, Minnesota instantly fell again by double digits and naturally gave up the run. Mattison completed the sport 26 yards on 10 runs and Four yards on two targets. The spectacular backlog in 12 months two was restricted to 23 snaps (46%), in comparison with 14 for relay specialist Ameer Abdullah and 5 for Mike Boone. Minnesota is near bye week and Prepare dinner is predicted in week 8. So Mattison shouldn’t be a participant to be launched anytime quickly. Its solely worth is an elite handcuff that’s nonetheless legitimate after Sunday.
New England Patriots: Julian Edelman’s season began effectively, with 80 yards on six touches in Week 1, adopted by an 8-179-Zero obtain line towards Seattle in Week 2. It has been a wrestle since then as Edelman posted obtain traces of 2-23-0 . 3-35-Zero and eventually 2-8-0. Edelman was focused precisely six occasions in every of those three video games and has but to attain a landing this season. Fantasy’s # 47 huge receiver acquired its hay into full swing within the Tom Brady period, nevertheless it may nonetheless miss that in Cam Newton, the hardest program within the league. Edelman will solely be a flex flier towards the 49ers in week 7.
New Orleans Saints: Jared Prepare dinner entered New Orleans’ Week 6 bye and completed 17th in Fantasy Factors. It is a bit deceptive, after all, because the veteran tight finish missed half of Week Three and all of Week Four resulting from harm. Prepare dinner produced two high 10 fantasy weeks in three full video games and scored 9.Three within the different sport. Prepare dinner has been a high 7 fantasy tight finish for every of the final two seasons, together with a 9 landing efficiency final season (he already has two factors in 2020). Prepare dinner stays an underrated edge TE1 possibility.
New York Giants: The Giants have been once more with out Sterling Shepard and misplaced C.J. Board after 10 snapshots on Sunday resulting from harm. Even so, Golden Tate solely performed 63% of the offensive snaps, adopted by Darius Slayton (85%) and an uncovered rookie who made his NFL debut, Austin Mack (74%). Tate’s snaps have been in decline for the previous two weeks, and he is acquired his season in full swing in week 2 (47) and his season highs on the targets in week 3 (seven). Tate, now 32, hasn’t scored a landing this season and is outdoors the highest 80 recipients in fantasy factors. He’ll see even much less work with Shepard subsequent week and may after all do with out waivers.
New York Jets: Of their first sport after Le’Veon Bell was launched, the Jets turned to La’Mical Perine as their again down. The fourth spherical rookie performed 39 snaps, or 57%, in contrast with 25 for Frank Gore and 4 for Ty Johnson. Perine did not produce a lot within the shutout and managed 36 yards with 9 touches. Gore was higher, with 46 yards on 11 runs and 24 yards on 4 targets, and Johnson flashed 42 yards on three runs. Gore’s passing sport manufacturing is notable in that it’s the most targets he has seen in a sport since 2017 and his highest mileage since 2018. Regardless of an honest day for Gore, Perine stays the extra dynamic participant and the most effective financial institution pool. We could have simply seen Gore’s greatest efficiency of the season, so he is nothing greater than a low-ceiling flex in very deep leagues.
Philadelphia Eagles: Miles Sanders left the Baltimore loss on Sunday with a leg harm after 27 snapshots (42%). The working again distribution behind him wasn’t tight. Boston Scott performed 31 snaps, Corey Clement 5 snaps, and Jason Huntley performed zero. Scott was held at 9 yards on 4 touches within the sport, however we noticed him producing 54 yards on eleven touches earlier than leaving with an harm of his personal instead of Sanders in Week 1. Sanders is unlikely to play Thursday evening.Scott will likely be a borderline high 20 RB sport towards the Giants, with Clement being a poor flex possibility.
Pittsburgh Steelers: What to do with JuJu Smith-Schuster Pittsburgh’s 23-year-old slot receiver blew up for a 6-69-2 obtain line on six targets in Week 1, however has since failed 48 yards in 4 video games and scored a landing in that point. Smith-Schuster’s hunch hit a brand new low on Sunday at 6 yards on 4 targets towards Cleveland. With Diontae Johnson nearing a return, one could marvel if Smith-Schuster’s 18% goal stake (highest stake on the group) and 12% Airship stake (fifth) may shrink even additional, particularly if rookie Chase Claypool makes his manner right into a key function enforces. Smith-Schuster fell on Flex territory, however there’s room for a rebound in one of many league’s high offenses.
San Francisco 49ers: After taking part in a restricted function on his return from harm in Week 4, Deebo Samuel has performed 85% of the snaps and has a goal share of 21% within the final two 49ers video games. Samuel had his greatest sport of the season in week 6, six catches for 66 yards and a landing on six targets. A rise in air yards can be ultimate (his aDOT dropped from 7.7 final season to 4.1), however greater than six faucets per sport is sufficient to maintain Samuel within the weekly WR3 dialogue.
Seattle Seahawks: By week 5, the Seahawks had canceled 67% of their offensive snapshots, in comparison with an anticipated price of 59% (based mostly on the sport scenario). That 8% hole was highest within the NFL, that means a Seattle group infamous for working the ball at the moment are committing the league’s worst crime. The excessive passing quantity helped Russell Wilson to get probably the most fantasy factors among the many quarterbacks, Chris Carson to the fifth most when working again and DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to the highest 10 standing with the huge receiver. Seattle is unlikely to make any main changes after a 5-Zero begin. Seattle is leaving its Week 6 with 4 gamers who needs to be line-up in all codecs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rob Gronkowski had his first huge sport with Tampa Bay on Sunday, setting new season highs in targets (eight), mileage (78) and touchdowns (one). After finishing a complete of 11 yards on 4 targets in his first two video games with the group, Gronkowski has reached 48 yards in three of his final 4 video games, which corresponds to a complete of 24 targets within the time span (6.Zero per sport). Gronkowski performed 84% of the snapshots on Sunday, which was constant along with his 81% odds within the sport and was manner forward of Cameron Brate (37%) and Tanner Hudson (13%). Gronkowski has a high 10 fantasy week forward of him this season. Regardless of reaching TE1 standing, it stays a dangerous sport.
Tennessee Titans: Anthony Firkser took benefit of an harm at Jonnu Smith on Sunday and blew up for an 8-113-1 obtain line on 9 targets. Firkser stepped into the week after by no means hitting 5 targets, 4 receptions, or 52 yards in a single sport, and he had two profession touchdowns to his identify. Firkser typically performs round 30% of the Snaps (he was at 56% on Sunday, which lagged Geoff Swaim’s 64%) so he will not even be a tempting close-end starter if Smith misses the time.
Washington Soccer Group: Terry McLaurin had a tricky match towards James Bradberry on Sunday, however the sophomore receiver was capable of put collectively a stable 7-74-Zero receiving line for 12 targets. McLaurin went into the sport from a dud towards the Rams in week 5 however in any other case had very excessive floor this season. McLaurin was focused not less than seven occasions in all six video games, together with three double digits. He has reached 61 yards in all however one sport. McLaurin is struggling to search out the tip zone (a TD) on Washington’s weak offense, however he is nonetheless ranked 14th among the many broad receivers on fantasy factors. Consider McLaurin as a powerful weekly WR2 possibility.