Two big myths could be at risk to go broke after the 2020 elections.
First, this President Trump is invincible, a political Houdini who would exhaust any means to stay in power – and inevitably succeed. Second, if he failed in any way, it would spell the end of his creation, Trumpism, alternative reality politics and ethno-nationalist populism that the Republican Party has adopted.
These two assumptions could have been wrong.
Joe Biden has now won 253 votes and has several routes to the White House with five swing states still undecided and not counting in several votes likely to favor him. While Trump has not indicated that he has any plans to admit, and his campaign insists he could still prevail, at this point there would most likely be a path to victory through the courts. It’s a tough road for him.
At the same time, if Democrats end up declaring victory over everyone, it will be a beleaguered one. Not only did Trump exceed their expectations on the battlefields, Democratic candidates for both the House and Senate also lost races – some in states that shared their tickets and preferred Biden as president – of which the party was fairly confident. These included fighting for Susan Collins’ Senate seat in Maine, a house race in Miami-Dade County, and another in eastern Iowa.
In a letter to House Democrats yesterday, Nancy Pelosi admitted that it was a “challenging election”. This means that for Republicans, almost all of whom were walking with arms wrapped around the president’s policies this year, Trump’s trademark is not entirely invalid. Even so, it seems increasingly likely that he will lose his re-election offer, a rarity for the President of the United States.
When he drives legal challenges In counting the votes, Trump could have a huge advantage: Judge Amy Coney Barrett, whom he appointed in September and confirmed by the Senate last month. She has never pledged to apologize again in election-related cases where the man she appointed comes to court.
Barrett’s presence in court means the Conservative wing wouldn’t need Chief Justice John Roberts, who has shown more reluctance than others to support the challenges of the Republican vote, to form a majority.
But Biden also has an advantage: the results for some states are as good as clear. Michigan and Wisconsin officials have cast nearly 99 percent of the votes to be counted, and there is little uncertainty about the results. Without the public perceptual advantage that George W. Bush enjoyed in 2000, it becomes far more complicated for Trump to call for something as drastic as overturning an election.
The President’s remarks in the early hours of election nightWhen he brazenly accused election officials across the country of counting the ballot papers, he received a general conviction the next day.
Biden made brief, prepared remarks on reporters, with fellow campaigner Kamala Harris by his side, as he reiterated that his campaign saw an almost certain route to 270 votes.
“Yesterday it was shown again that democracy is the heartbeat of this nation,” said Biden, pointing out that voter turnout had broken records. “I’m not here to declare we won, but I’m here to report that when the count is over we believe we will be the winner.”
When Trump and members of his team made false claims that Pennsylvania was stolen from them when the postal vote was counted, the state’s Democratic governor Tom Wolf vowed to count every final vote.
“Pennsylvania will have a fair election, and that election will be free from outside influence,” said Wolf. “I will be vigorous and we will all vigorously defend against any attempt to attack this vote in Pennsylvania.” The state, widely viewed as the likely linchpin of that election, will continue to accept mailed ballot papers through Friday, postmarked by November 3rd.