BOSTON (CBS) – We are known for our New England winter storms. While they are much less common, hurricanes are arguably the greatest risk to property as they can cause large amounts of damage in a short period of time.
It’s been a while. The last hurricane to land here was Bob – 30 years ago. And for a “big” Category 3 or higher you have to go back to Carol in 1954!
Even so, even so-called “weaker” hurricanes or tropical storms can have a big impact, like Isaias in Connecticut last year
What are the experts asking for this time after the record 2020 season with 30 named storms?
One of the greatest overall factors is not in the Atlantic, but in the Pacific! Years of El Nino can result in high wind shear which reduces the number of storms in our basin. La Nina years less wind shear resulting in hyperactive seasons like last year.
Neither La Nina nor El Nino are in place for the upcoming hurricane season. “La nada” if you will.
We also find much warmer than average water in the Atlantic, but not yet in the main developing region.
The expectation is an above-average hurricane season. But here’s the biggest takeaway every year – it only takes one. Calm seasons can create a terrible storm. Busy people can usually go out to sea.
. @ NWSCPC predicts another above-average Atlantic hurricane season. However, experts do not expect the historical extent of storm activity in 2020.
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– NWS Boston (@NWSBoston) May 20, 2021
Every year we want to prepare as if it were our year. And hope it doesn’t!