Liberals and conservatives are roughly equally likely to say that transport or energy infrastructure is an important issue, so Pew research and Monmouth Polls from January, in contrast to Climate, Healthcare and Taxes. The greatest opposition from Republicans to Mr. Biden’s plan comes from the new taxes required to meet the costs or the possibility that the spending will lead to inflation.
Voters still have time to get angry at Mr Biden’s initiatives, just as public opinion gradually turned against the Affordable Care Act in 2009. And conservatives can escalate their attacks on Mr Biden’s expenses at any time, be it before the passing of the Democratic Reconciliation Act or before the midterm elections.
But if Mr Biden manages to get an ambitious agenda off the ground without incurring huge political costs, he could find himself in an unusual and enviable position heading for next year’s mid-term agenda – without a controversial political anvil pulling him down . That would give Democrats a rare chance to capitalize on a potentially increasingly favorable national political environment.
For the past few weeks, Mr. Biden has argued that “the last time the economy grew on this scale was in 1984 and Ronald Reagan told us it was tomorrow in America. ”
The voters are still not entirely in agreement. Only 35 percent of Americans said they were happy with how things went in the United States Gallup poll carried out in June, still well below the 45 percent who said they were satisfied just before the outbreak of the pandemic in February 2020. That could change if the economy continues to improve and Mr Biden’s agenda remains popular.
However, even an economic recovery may not be enough to lead the Democrats to a half-time victory. In the nearly 40 years since Tomorrow in America, the relationship between economic growth and president approval ratings has gradually weakened. Mr Trump, for example, remained unpopular regardless of whether the economy was strong or weak. Mr Obama never got too unpopular, even though the economy was pretty bad at times.
The growing discrepancy between attitudes towards the president and the strength of the economy reflects in part an increasingly polarized country, with fewer voters who could ever be made to say they approve of the other party’s president or disapprove of their own. But it could also reflect polarizing presidents who dig into their grassroots and pursue ideological legislative agendas, such as reforming the health system. If so, a less polarizing legislative agenda could give Mr Biden a better chance of turning strong economic growth into stronger medium-term performance.